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BIDding down for Sotheby's, but high hopes for Q4

Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) had a great night this week, tripling the performance of competitor Christie's (OTC: CRUPF). But, it didn't come soon enough to help the company's third quarter results.

The auction house suffered from the art market slump that was exacerbated by the global financial crisis, posting a net loss of $57.8 million (89 cents a share). This is worse than the $47 million loss (73 cents a share) it delivered a year earlier. Three analysts that Bloomberg surveyed expected a loss of 29 cents a share. Revenue was off 41% to $44.9 million for the quarter.

Continue reading BIDding down for Sotheby's, but high hopes for Q4

Earnings highlights: AIG, Caterpillar, Cisco, News Corp., Procter & Gamble ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: AIG, Caterpillar, Cisco, News Corp., Procter & Gamble ...

Closing Bell: The down day that didn't feel too down (USU, WFMI, BID, ERTS, TIVO)

The markets closed down in negative territory, but today will feel like a win to many traders. Each day the news keeps getting a set up for a sell-off and nothing materializes. Bears are even getting frustrated because of no substantial pullbacks. The weaker employment data had little dent, but then the weaker services market kept the rally from emerging today.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 9,280.97 -39.22 (-0.42%)
S&P 500 1,002.68 -2.97 (-0.30%)
Nasdaq 1,993.05 -18.26 (-0.91%)

Top Analyst Upgrades
Top Analyst Downgrades

Continue reading Closing Bell: The down day that didn't feel too down (USU, WFMI, BID, ERTS, TIVO)

Sotheby's reports loss but hopes for recovery

An embittered Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) has turned in its first quarterly profit in a year, showing signs that the worst of the art market slump may be over. The company, which has seen contemporary art auction prices fall 76.2% from May 2008 to today, reported a decline of 87% in earnings for the second quarter, but company CFO William Sheridan says that the worst of this market is behind us. Sell-through rates are up, with more inventory moving likely to help with sagging revenues.

But commission revenue seems to be headed in the wrong direction. For Q2, Sotheby's reported commission revenues at 21.3%, up from 41% year-over-year. Unfortunately, this isn't the measure you want to go up. Lower-priced pieces tend to have higher commission rates, meaning that the auction house's Q2 performance was dragged down by less desirable inventory.

Continue reading Sotheby's reports loss but hopes for recovery

Art market sucks, Hirst and Prince turn to books

Damien Hirst has gotten to the point where the sound of his own voice isn't good enough – now he needs a record of his thoughts for the ages. He and fellow artist Richard Prince (who actually has some talent) discuss the pains of the art market in Requiem II, which is scheduled to be published by Other Criteria this fall. Of course, Hirst is one of the publishing house's founders, making one wonder if this is the only most effective way for him to get a book published.

If a recent interview with ArtNews is any indication, Requiem II will contain the insights you'd come to expect from an artist of Hirst's caliber. My personal favorite: "Yeah, we ain't gonna sell as much art, art shows are gonna get better now the focus shifts away from money."

Brilliant.

Continue reading Art market sucks, Hirst and Prince turn to books

High-end reins-it-in: Picasso painting fails to sell

The era of the 'frugal consumer' is upon us, and it's extending all the way up the social/economic ladder.
  • Picasso painting fails to sell – There was no buyer earlier this week for a 1971 Picasso painting, "Woman with Hat," estimated by Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) auction house to go at bid for $16-24 million. Further, an Alberto Giacometti 1951 bronze sculpture of a cat, also with a $16-24 million estimate, was withdrawn. Sotheby's said each fell below their reserve prices, The Associated Press reported.

Continue reading High-end reins-it-in: Picasso painting fails to sell

Sotheby's withdrawal of Picasso painting from auction seen as bearish signal

There's a saying among the specialists and traders who do most of the living and breathing at the New York Stock Exchange that goes: "When the little guys are cutting back, that's an inconvenience. But when the big guys start cutting back, that's a problem."

Sotheby's auction house has abruptly withdrawn a Picasso Cubist painting that was set to be auctioned on November 3, The New York Times reported Monday.

This, as CNN's Larry King would say, is not good news.

1909 work is withdrawn


The painting, "Arlequin" (1909), was estimated at more than $30 million, and was one of the most expensive works in the fall art season. David Norman, a co-chairman of Sotheby's Impressionist and modern art department worldwide, told The Times the painting was withdrawn "for private reasons." Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) shares rose 20 cents to $7.85 in mid-day Tuesday trading.

Continue reading Sotheby's withdrawal of Picasso painting from auction seen as bearish signal

Is high-end art slump a harbinger?

Most investors/readers know about the stream of U.S. economic statistics originating from the U.S. Commerce and Labor Departments, and from other Washington agencies, that form the basis for 'taking the pulse' of the economy.

But more experienced investors know about that group of 'unofficial statistics' that fill-in the economic landscape and frequently provide clues regarding future economic activity that the others do not. In this category, you'll find mall traffic levels, those infamous corrugated box orders, and package deliveries, as metrics of significance.

And another metric worth keeping an eye on, in the interpretation of stock exchange specialists? The demand and prices for fine art.

Fine art, antiques, and collectibles are the aesthetic knick-knacks of the gentry. Or as one New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: NYX) specialist put it, "A lot of the other metrics measure how the little guy is doing. Art demand measures how the big guys are doing."

The significance? "When the little guy is pulling back, that's a concern. But when the big guys are pulling back, now that's a problem," he said.

Art demand slowdown telegraphing global slump?

Moreover, a problem may be surfacing with the 'big guys.' Sotheby's, the world's largest, publicly-traded auction house has dropped about 20% in the past week on concern the global art market may be slowing, Bloomberg News reported. Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) shares declined 39 cents to $22.64 in Friday afternoon trading.

Sotheby's contemporary art auction on Wednesday was not a confidence builder. The sale totaled $10.4 million, well below the $14 million high estimate, will only 69% of lots selling, Bloomberg News reported. In comparison, during a similar sale a year ago, 81% of lots were purchased.

Continue reading Is high-end art slump a harbinger?

Market highlights for next week: April sales results coming out

Monday, May 5
  • Happy Cinco de Mayo!
  • Day one of the two-day FDA Anesthetic/Life Support Drugs & Drug Safety/Risk Management Advisory Committees meeting: Purdue Pharma's NDA for Oxycontin.
  • Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC) to report Q1 earnings; conference call Tuesday at 10:00am.
Tuesday, May 6
  • Day two of the two-day FDA Anesthetic/Life Support Drugs & Drug Safety/Risk Mgmt Advisory Committees meeting: Cephalon's (NASDAQ:CEPH) sNDA for Fentora.
  • Molson Coors (NYSE:TAP) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 12:00pm.
  • Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) to report Q2 earnings; conference call at 4:30pm.
Wednesday, May 7
Thursday, May 8
Friday, May 9

Sotheby's just loves the next word after 'Going once, going twice...'

The choppy/consolidating (or perhaps worse) market conditions sometimes give the impression that growth plays do not exist, but that is not the case, and one growth company worth reviewing is Sotheby's.

Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) is the world's second-largest auctioneer of fine arts, antiques and collectibles, offering property in numerous collecting categories, including paintings, jewelry, decorative arts, and books.

Analysts expect Sotheby's to register strong revenue growth in 2008, with an improving financial position, and modest debt. Furthermore, costs remain reasonable. The Reuters F2008/F2009 EPS consensus estimates for the company are $2.82/$3.14.

Continue reading Sotheby's just loves the next word after 'Going once, going twice...'

Analyst upgrades: Restaurant sector, BBI and PLXS

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The Restaurant Sector, Blockbuster and Plexus were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Bear Stearns upgraded the Restaurant Sector to Market Weight from Underweight citing better investor sentiment following Fed rate cuts and the economic stimulus plan; upgraded shares include Brinker International (NYSE: EAT), Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ: CAKE) and Darden Restaurants (NYSE: DRI).
  • JP Morgan upgraded shares of Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI) to Overweight from Neutral ahead of the company's Q4 results on March 6, as they believe the quarter will be at least in-line and 2008 guidance will be above Street expectations.
  • Plexus (NASDAQ: PLXS) was raised to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse as they believe current quarter sales and bookings are tracking ahead.
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Maxwell Technologies (NASDAQ: MXWL) was upgraded to Market Perform from Market Underperform at JMP Securities.
  • The firm also raised Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) to Market Outperform from Market Perform.
  • Goldman Sachs added Allianz AG (NYSE: AZ) to its Conviction Buy List.

Harry Potter book sells for $4 million to benefit disadvantaged children

The Tales of Beedle the Bard, a book of fairy tales created, hand-written and illustrated by Harry Potter author J.K. Rowling, sold for nearly $4 million at a Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) auction on Thursday.

The book is one of seven copies Rowling made, and she gave the other six away to people involved with the Harry Potter collection. The book had only been expected to fetch about $100,000, but soared far beyond that and was eventually sold to a London art agent for $4 million.

The proceeds will benefit The Children's Voice, which campaigns for rights of children who grow up in institutions, particularly in Eastern Europe. To learn more about the charity, or perhaps make it part of your holiday giving plan, visit its website.

It's impressive to see that the first thing that Rowling released upon the completion of the Harry Potter series was not another book to cash in on her name. In fact, Rowling, who is already a billionaire, won't be making any money from this book.

J.K. Rowling has conducted herself with unbelievable class, and her good works and wariness of diving right into another book should only help build anticipation for her next project.

Harry Potter fans looking for a peak of what the book consists of should head over to Amazon.com, which has a terrific series of photos and a video about the book. More photos and reviews of the stories will be uploaded.

Earnings highlights: Wal-Mart, Home Depot, Starbucks, and others

Here are some highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Jim Cramer offers three tests for financial stocks. Zac Bissonnette examines the relationship between earnings and the number of press releases generated by a company.

Upcoming results to watch for include: Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ), Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT), Whole Foods Market (NASDAQ: WFMI), Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE: ANF), Gap Inc. (NYSE: GPS), and Deere & Co. (NYSE: DE).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

Time to 'bid' on Sotheby's (BID)?

Following a disappointing auction, Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) lost over a third of its value in trading last week. Despite the downfall, Richard Moroney sees an opportunity to "bid" on the shares of the art auction firm.

The editor of Dow Theory Forecasts explains, "Sotheby's plunged in price after disappointing results for a major art auction triggered several brokerage downgrades. Following the drop, the company posted better-than-expected sales for the September quarter.

"However, because of losses on guarantees that Sotheby's provided to sellers in the disappointing auction, earnings were slightly worse than consensus estimates. For the quarter, the company lost $0.33 per share, an improvement from the per-share loss of $0.49 in the year-earlier period.

"Because of the seasonal nature of the art business, Sotheby's typically loses money in the September quarter. The company says it remains optimistic on the outlook for the art market for the remainder of 2007, and it seems Wall Street has overreacted to a single disappointing auction.

"While worries regarding the guarantees that Sotheby's provides and the general health of the art market could keep the stock under pressure in the near term, we view the sell-off as a buying opportunity.

"Trading at 12 times expected 2007 earnings, the stock seems undervalued considering the company's track record and outlook. Sotheby's remains a Best Buy."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com website features the latest investment commentary and favorite stock picks of the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Sotheby's (BID) rebounds from earnings dip

BID logoSotheby's (NYSE: BID) reported operating revenues of $85.1 million for the third quarter on Friday, a 48% increase from the prior period. Operating losses fell to $20.9 million, a 31% improvement. The Q3 gains were primarily the result of higher auction commission revenues and private sales commissions. However, the stock fell on Friday due to worries about recent losses on underperforming auctions. Today, the stock is rebounding strongly as investors had time to digest the overall rosy picture printed in the earnings release. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on BID.

After hitting a one-year high of $61.40 in October, the stock has fallen considerably this month. BID opened this morning at $34.25. So far today the stock has hit a low of $33.76 and a high of $34.81. As of 11:10, BID is trading at $34.68, up $1.93 (5.9%). The chart for BID looks neutral and deteriorating.

Continue reading Sotheby's (BID) rebounds from earnings dip

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Last updated: November 07, 2009: 09:46 AM

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